The economy
of Punjab, Pakistan is one that is largely based on agriculture and industry.
Punjab is the largest province of Pakistan in terms of population, and also has
the largest and fastest-growing economy in the country compared to other
provinces and administrative units.
Punjab's economy has quadrupled since 1972. Its share of Pakistan's GDP was 54.7% in
2000 and 59% as of 2010.
It is
especially dominant in the Service & Agriculture sectors of Pakistan
Economy. With its contribution ranging from 52.1% to 64.5% in the Service
Sector and 56.1% to 61.5% in the Agriculture Sector.
It is also
a major manpower contributor because it has the largest pool of professionals
and highly skilled (Technically trained) manpower in Pakistan.
It is also
dominant in the Manufacturing sector, though the dominance is not as huge, with
historical contributions ranging from a low of 44% to a high of 52.6%.
In 2007,
Punjab achieved a growth rate of 7.8% and during the period 2002-03 to 2007-08,
its economy grew at a rate of between 7% to 8% per year and during 2008-09 grew
at 6% against the total GDP growth of Pakistan at 4%.
Despite
lack of a coastline, Punjab is the most industrialized province of Pakistan;
its manufacturing industries produce textiles, sports goods, Heavy machinery,
electrical appliances, surgical instruments, Cement, Vehicles, Auto Parts, I.T,
metals, Sugar mill plants, Cement Plants, Agriculture Machinery, bicycles and
rickshaws, floor coverings, and processed foods.
In 2003,
the province manufactured 90% of the paper and paper boards, 71% of the
fertilizers, 69% of the sugar, and 40% of the cement of Pakistan.
Despite its
a tropical wet and dry climate, extensive irrigation makes it a rich
agricultural region. Its canal-irrigation system established by the British is
the largest in the world. Wheat and cotton are the largest crops. Other crops
include rice, sugarcane, millet, corn, oilseeds, pulses, vegetables, and fruits
such as Kinoo. Livestock and poultry production are also important. Despite
past animosities, the rural masses in Punjab's farms continue to use the Hindu
calendar for planting and harvesting.
Punjab
contributes about 76% to annual food grain production in the country. Cotton
and rice are important crops. They are the cash crops that contribute
substantially to the national exchequer. Attaining self-sufficiency in
agriculture has shifted the focus of the strategies towards small and medium
farming, stress on barani areas, farm-to-market roads, electrification for
tube-wells, and control of waterlogging and salinity.
Punjab has
also more than 68 thousand industrial units. The small and cottage industries
are in abundance. There are 39,033 small and cottage industrial units. The
number of textile units is 14,820. The ginning industries are 6,778. There are
7,355 units for the processing of agricultural raw materials including food and
feed industries.
Lahore and
Gujranwala Divisions have the largest concentration of small light engineering
units.
District of
Faisalabad is famous for Textile products.
District of
Jhang has the largest Wheat & Sugar cane production share with the maximum
number of floor and sugar-producing industries.
The
district of Sialkot excels in sports goods, surgical instruments, and cutlery
goods.
The
district of Chiniot is famous for its more specialized furniture industry.
Punjab is
also a mineral-rich province with extensive mineral deposits of Coal, Gas,
Petrol, Rock salt (with the second largest salt mine in the world), Dolomite,
gypsum, and silica sand. The Punjab Mineral Development Corporation is running
over a hundred's economically viable projects. Manufacturing includes machine products,
cement, plastics, and various other goods.
Economic
growth Sources
Economic
growth is the process of increasing the economic ability to produce goods and
services. It can be achieved by increasing the quantity or quality of
resources. The quality option primarily includes improvements in technology and
human capital. The quantity option can include increases in the quantities of
labor, capital, land, or entrepreneurship.
The two
primary methods of achieving economic growth are increasing the quantity and
quality of resources, which might be termed the Q and Q of economic growth.
Each method expands the economy's production capabilities, which can result in
a greater quantity of products that can then lessen the fundamental problem of
scarcity. Economic growth is commonly illustrated as either an outward shift of
the production possibilities curve or a rightward shift of the long-run
aggregate supply curve.
Resource
Quantity
The first,
and perhaps most obvious method of achieving economic growth is to increase
the quantities of available resources. A direct implication of scarcity is that
limited resources mean limited production of goods and services. If those
resources are less limited, then production can be greater.
Labor:
Human Labor effort is involved in virtually every act of production, from
mining manganese to baking bread. As such, if the economy has more workers,
then it can produce more goods. The quantity of labor is typically expanded in
three ways:
The first
is natural population growth. Because labor is people, more births today, mean
more workers in 20 years. So long as the birth rate exceeds the death rate, the
size of the population increases. Once these people reach working age, then the
labor force also expands.
Immigration
from other nations is a second way. Workers who move from one country to
another immediately add to the labor force of the destination nation.
Industrialized countries, such as the United States, have always relied on the
immigration of workers from other nations to expand the quantity of labor.
The third
way is an increase in the labor force participation rate. That is, to have a
larger fraction of the population engaged in working. Every society has hunters
and gathers who work, and couch potatoes who do not. The pool of labor
increases when a larger fraction of the population is willing and able to work.
Capital:
The factories, machinery, equipment, and other capital goods that workers use
to assist their production efforts are critical to economic growth. Capital
must be produced using resources that could have been used to make something
else, such as a want-or-need satisfying hot fudge sundae. This act of producing
capital, which enables greater future production but which means giving up
goods that would have provided current satisfaction, is commonly termed
investment.
Natural
Resources: Natural resources provide the economy with materials that are
transformed into goods. If the economy has more materials, then it can produce
goods. Because natural resources are natural, that is, they come with the
planet; the key to increasing their quantity is not creating more so much as
just finding them. This is the basic act of exploration, which has historically
included "discovering" new lands like European explorers did in the
1600s or like U.S. settlers did when they expanded westward in the 1800s.
However, in modern times, exploration usually takes the form of digging or drilling
into the Earth's crust in search of mineral or fossil fuel deposits.
Resource
Quality
The second
method of achieving economic growth is to increase the qualities of available
resources, that is, to improve the productivity of a given quantity of resources.
Education:
The Quality of Labor: Education is the primary method of increasing the quality
of labor resources. This also goes by the term human capital. Better educated
workers are more productive workers. Education can be of the formal, sitting-in-a-classroom the variety that awards diplomas and forces students to expand their conceptual
understanding. Or it can be of the informal, on-the-job-training variety that
comes from experience and learning-by-doing. Both methods--formal education and
experience--are valuable methods of increasing human capital and the quality of
labor. Some knowledge is best acquired through formal education and some are
best obtained by just doing it.
Technology:
The Quality of Production: Technology is the knowledge and information that
society as a whole possesses the production of goods and services. Improving
technology makes it possible to produce more output with the same resources or
to use fewer resources to produce the same output, that is, to improve
technical efficiency. While technology concerns all aspects of production, it
most often surfaces in the quality of capital. That is, the economy uses
technological improvements to build better, technically more efficient,
machinery, and tools.
The hike in Petrol etc.,can be calibrated and differentiated by the IRP.In COVID times – the IRP (Islamic Republic of Pakistan),can raise resources,from only 5 sources
ReplyDeleteHike in Taxes of fuel and liquor
Hike Rates of Power
Hike in Import Duty on Edible Oil
Cutting govtt staff costs
Cutting Govtt costs
The Public will not tolerate any other tax hike.dindooohindoo
Since there is a demand drawdown (id.est.,the absolute demand has reduced),so the post hike rates, might be even more than,the pre-Covid cost,to a retail user
Had the IRP locked into the Oil futures on BMD/NYMEX/CBOT – it would have been a party for IRP (id,est., not deliverable forwards – as there is no storage capacity in the world on tankers or in bond).BMD is controlled by Mahatir – the ally of IKN.
People are needlessly abusing IKN (Imran Khan Niazi).This man will FREE the Kashmiris from the yokels of the Kaffir genocide.He is the man – and providence has got him to that seat
News anchors crib about the rates of fuel in EU and USA,and link it to Purchaing Power Parity (PPP).Oil is sold in USD – and so downstream oil products have to be compared on USD terms.PPP is irrelevant. THE FACT is that the price of petrol and diesel in IRP,is the lowest in the SAARC,and also lower than many nations in the EU.
However,if like in IRP,there are local refiners – then also,we have to look at the FOB rates of petrol and diesel,as there is an opportunity cost of export.IRP oil refineries are making a profit at these rates – and the tax on that profit,is going to the IRP.ONE COULD ARGUE that the Oil PSUs can sell at Marginal Cost of refining,plus some Fixed cost recovery (FCR)- so that the burden on the retail is MINISMISED.
The ethical reason for the above,is that that IRP oil refiners,are listed on the KSE.So if Oil PSU makes
a profit on the misery of the people of IRP – and then speculators punt on it,and also earn quarterly dividends on it – which 98% of the people of IRP cannot avail of – that would be against Islamic business principles.Hence,the Oil PSU has to sell on Marginal cost plus some FCR.
The moral reason,is that an Oil PSU in IRP,in the COVID market,SHOULD not make windfall gains at the
expense of the people of IRP,based on inventory gains.This requires no ACUMEN or intellectual
angulature.
If the Oil PSU is selling the Oil to the distributors and there is no clause in the agency or dealership agreement to return to the IRP the windfall profit earned – that would be criminal.
For the news anchors of IRP – take the case of Gold.The price of RAW Gold (prime ingots and bars) all over the world is the same – net of all taxes.The difference of 2-5% is due to Air freight,assay cost,FX volatility(not translation) and traders margin.Similarly the price of petrol and diesel is the SAME ALL
over the world – net of taxes AND SUBSIDIES,with a margin of 5-11%,to account of differential freight and profit margin.
However,instead of hiking the rates en masse,on an ad vaolorem basis – IKN should have done the following :
ReplyDeleteImposed a 1 time,1 year tax,on all private luxury cars,using Diesel (based on deemed fuel usage)
Imposed a 1 time,1 year tax,on all private cars using,Diesel (based on deemed fuel usage)
Imposed a 1 time,1 year tax,on all private luxury cars,using Petrol (on an adhoc basis)
Imposed a 1 time,1 year tax,on all private cars,using Petrol (on an adhoc basis)
Government vehicles can be exempted as it is just a transfer pricing mechanism.The Result will be that the people will stop using the cars,and the 2nd market for the resale,will disappear and new car sales,are in any case,in a slump.
W.r.t. diesel pumps in farm areas – the price should stay constant or the IRP can give free power for pumping.The Marginal cost of making diesel and stocking and transporting it to farmers is far beyond the MARGINAL COST OF FREE POWER,to the farmer.The Marginal Cost of transporting power is only the T and D loss PLUS the Marginal Cost of generation.In a case of falling power demand – the high cost power plants will be shut down – and the marginal cost of hydel is ZERO and that of other fuels,will be Rs 2-5 per unit
W.r.t agri transport – there are 2 parts.For the cost of transportation to the farmer – the the propreitor has to pay a 1 time tax based on expected fuel usage.For the transportation from the farmer to the City etc., fuel dumps in those demarcated areas CAN REDUCE the COST OF DIESEL only – so that the lowered logistics cost,of farm output – will offset the hike in logistics costs of farm inputs.Farmers in IRP are exploited at the point of sale of produce – and so,it is key that the output logistics costs,are kept,as low as possible.
Make the Oil PSUs of the IRP ensure,that NO WINDFALL profits are earned,by the PRIVATE SECTOR
oil distributors,in the IRP
If the Oil hike CANNOT BE rolled back – then the INCREMENTAL PROFIT earned by the OIL PSUs,can
be passed to the Marginal sections,in terms of free power in some geographies and power loads, a 50% hike in interest rates in small saving schemes and a 1 time bonus to marginal sections on insurance policies
Net Result
Aam junta will get diesel and petrol,at the old rates
Farmers will be insulated,from fuel hikes
Farmer rise in input costs on logistics,can be offset by the IRP,by higher Farm gate prices
or free power or cash subsidies
IRP will save on tax administration,as a 1 time tax will be collected
Money saved by Aam junta on diesel,can be spent,in part on rise in food etc
When all options are exhausted – then the retail prices can be hiked en masse.There are still,many cards in the shoe.